Trade war escalation could trigger global financial crisis
Trade war escalation could trigger global financial crisis
He says efforts are afoot to protect the interests of lower income segments of society
12 October, 2018, 08:02
The body now expects the US economy to grow at a rate of 2.5 percent in 2019, a 0.2 percentage point decline from its April estimates.
The tariffs stem from the Trump administration's demands that China make sweeping changes to its intellectual property practices, rein in high-technology industrial subsidies, open its markets to more foreign competition and take steps to cut a $375 billion US goods trade surplus.
The IMF's analysis suggests that there is a 5 per cent probability, emerging market economies (excluding China) could face debt portfolio outflows of US$100 billion or more over a period of four quarters (equivalent to 0.6 per cent of their combined GDP), broadly similar in magnitude to the Global Financial Crisis.
In a new assessment issued at its meeting in Bali, Indonesia, the International Monetary Fund predicted that "everyone is going to suffer", as the US and China - the world's two biggest economies - spar over tariffs and other trade issues.
The US growth forecast for 2019 is down from 2.7% to 2.5%. The Trump administration has penalized almost half of all imports from China and has threatened more for the other half.
In a report released on Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund estimated that despite positive policy tailwinds in the USA economy resulting from things like tax reform, growth will be less than previously expected next year, as a result of the trade war.
World Bank President Jim Yong Kim said he's concerned about developing economies losing out from deepening trade tensions, which are being escalated by the U.S.
The State Bank of Pakistan said it believes "this adjustment in the exchange rate, along with lagged impact of recent hikes in [interest rates] and other policy measures to contain imports will correct the imbalances in the external account".
The IMF announced it had reduced its outlook on the global economy to a 3.7% growth rate for this year and next, down 0.2% from what it had originally predicted in July.
Rebuilding Fiscal Buffers It noted that public debt has increased in emerging markets over the past decade, and is projected to increase further in numerous largest economies over the next five years.
It said that the composition of spending and revenues should be growth friendly and protect the most vulnerable.
The normalization of monetary policy in the United States as well as a stronger dollar and escalation in trade tensions has already begun to affect emerging market economies, the Fund said.
U.S. stimulus also adds to the "already-unsustainable" debt and deficit that will undercut future growth, the report warned. The country returned to a growth rate of 1.5 percent in 2017 after two years of decline.
Let's just hope that original content is of the quality users are used to seeing on competing video streaming services. Until recently, it had been lumped in the same speculative basket as Apple HDTVs and Apple self-driving cars.
Performance will also be improved because of the presence of Razer vapor chamber cooling system that provides thermal cooling. This has allowed Razer to incorporate Qi wireless charging support, which seems to be a must-have feature these days.
NASA said that rescue teams have reached Hague and Ovchinin and they've been taken out of the capsule and were in good condition. One of the pictures showed Hague smiling and another had him sitting next to Russia's space agency chief Dmitry Rogozin.
Following stage separation, the first stage of the rocket returned to land at SpaceX's Landing Zone 4 (LZ-4) at Vandenberg. SpaceX Falcon 9 marked a new milestone by becoming the company's first to take off and land on the USA west coast.
According to 2015-16 National Mental Health Survey (NMHS) survey, every sixth person in India needs mental-health help. One of the most risky things about mental-health issues is the stigma and secrecy surrounding it, he said.
You can listen to his remarks about the wine in the video below. "It's just fun to have our full group, " James said. It's probably too soon for their 3-year-old daughter, Zhuri, to start drinking wine, though.
Gomez didn't attend the American Music Awards last night and the site notes that her team has been virtually silent recently. In August, her one-time best friend and former Disney co-star Demi Lovato was hospitalized for an alleged heroin overdose.
The Inkatha Freedom Party (IFP) has called for a discussion on the death penalty, due to the high crime statistics in the country. The UN chief argued that legal representation or transparent criminal proceedings might have spared them from the death penalty.
Only a few Halloween face masks feature Eugenie, though some shopkeepers say that will change in the hours ahead of her wedding. Earlier this week, Eugenie posted a photo on Instagram of her and Beatrice as bridesmaids with the caption #tbt sisterly love.
But the Android TV box market is now a sparse landscape with very few options available for consumers to choose from. The Mi Box S is available for pre-order starting today for $60 and will begin shipping to customers on October 19.
Grading the Eagles after the 23-21 loss to the Vikings
But Wentz was called for intentional grounding and coach Doug Pederson elected not to let Jake Elliott try a 58-yarder. Philadelphia is now on a two-game losing streak and has to get ready to play the New York Giants on Thursday night.
Kavanaugh's impact on next month's midterms
It took most of President Barack Obama's first term for a Democratic Senate to confirm a similar number of appellate judges. That's because the GOP is defending only eight Senate seats in November, only two of which are somewhat close.
Venezuela opposition lawmaker dies in prison
Authorities have arrested at least 30 people linked to the drone explosions on August 2, which injured seven soldiers. The city councilman's lawyer, Joel Garcia, told reporters it was too soon to confirm whether the case was a suicide.
China Detains Interpol Head Over Bribery Allegations
He had been on a three-country tour, to Norway, Sweden and Serbia, for Interpol before his latest trip back to China, she said . Kim Jong-yang of South Korea was appointed interim president on Sunday and made the agency's first comment on the affair.
Fan almost nails Red Sox's Kimbrel with beer can
With its quirky dimensions that include the Green Monster in left, Fenway can be hard for visiting teams defensively. There are certain things they were that I don't like, but just keep it loose and be yourself.
Red Sox strike first in ALDS Game 4, take 3-0 lead
Zach Britton gave up an opposite-field homer to No. 9 batter Christian Vazquez in the fourth, and NY never fully recovered. Rick Porcello is set to pitch for Boston while CC Sabathia will start for the Yankees.
HPV Vaccination Now Available To Ages 27 To 45
That vaccine, which prevents malignancies causes by types of HPV, is no longer distributed in the United States. The vaccine is Gardasil 9, made by Merck, and had been previously approved for minors and people up to age 26.
Brexit deal next week 'within reach': Barnier
Instead she proposed Britain as a whole stay temporarily aligned with the EU's customs union until a wider trade deal is agreed. She added: "The Prime Minister is a Unionist". "Such a lovely morning" is all she would say to me.