Sunday, 18 November, 2018

Trump says election will be seen as referendum on him

A truck drives displaying a message reading ‘Vote Out Hate A truck drives displaying a message reading ‘Vote Out Hate
Jean Garcia | 06 November, 2018, 06:42

CBS News released a survey on Sunday that estimated the makeup of the next House of Representatives, where Democrats need to flip 23 Republican seats to gain control.

This time, given the increased turnout and the rise of young and first-time voters, analysts see the Democratic Party as very likely to regain control of the House, but less likely to gain control of the Senate.

Meantime, he also was asked how he will respond if Democrats win the House.

That skepticism suggests that current valuations do not fully reflect the polls' expectations and Treasury yields may still move down if Democrats take control of the House of Representatives. This would seem likely even in a neutral environment, and history shows that these "toss-up" races tend to go strongly in the direction of the party with the electoral momentum.

On "Outnumbered" on Monday, Wallace said he has to "laugh a little bit" at the idea of touting Trump as the "savior" if the election ends up being split. "And you know what you do?"

"For an 18-year incumbent to even have that little bit of tightening, I think it shows that there is some undercurrent in the state that probably wasn't there prior to the Trump victory", said Mr. Yoon, who is also a visiting professor of journalism at the University of MI. That could change with a Democratic-controlled House.

Other close races in the state include GOP Rep. Jeff Denham's re-election bid against challenger Josh Harder in the 10th and Rep. Steve Knight facing Democrat Katie Hill in the 25th.

Governors are also being chosen in 36 out of 50 states. Of the states with earlier closures, Florida, Pennsylvania and NY have a number of House seats which Democrats consider winnable.

He said: "This election will decide on whether we build on the extraordinary prospective we have created or whether we let the radical Democrats take a wrecking ball to our future". "Democrats have been motivated to vote ever since Trump won in 2016, while Republicans have been far less motivated". Conservative Party candidate Sam McCann, a Republican state senator, will take from 5 to 7 percent of normally GOP votes away from Rauner. Heidi Heitkamp, a Democrat, in North Dakota.

What it would mean: Imagine a scenario in which Democrats lead 50-49 on Election Day in the Senate, and the eyes of the country - and the deep pockets of out-of-state money - descend on Mississippi.

'That’s a super tight schedule': Bears' Week 11 game vs
The Steelers have one other game that could still be flexed out of its current time slot - at Oakland Dec. 9. The Philadelphia Eagles at New Orleans Saints game has been moved from noon CST on FOX to 3:25 p.m. on FOX.

One of the RNC report's authors, Ari Fleischer, acknowledged that Republican leaders never envisioned expanding their ranks with white, working-class men.

Sen. Heidi Heitkamp, D-N.D., speaks during a Senate Banking Committee hearing in Washington on May 24, 2018.

The biggest question in this scenario is whether Democrats would actually be able to get Beto O'Rourke across the finish line in Texas (where Democrats haven't won statewide in any race in a quarter-century) or pull an upset for the Tennessee open seat between Rep. Marsha Blackburn, R, and former governor Phil Bredesen, D, where the polling average has Blackburn up by five.

But if you are looking at this purely from the vantage point of Trump's self-interest - particularly as it relates to winning re-election in 2020 - there is a compelling case to be made that a Democratic House might be a good thing for the president.

There are indications that a modest "blue wave" of support may help Democrats seize control of at least one chamber of Congress. And Trump could set his sights on ousting Attorney General Jeff Sessions and other key figures at the Justice Department, possibly ending the department's investigation of Russia's attack on the 2016 election.

With a Senate majority, the Democrats would be able to block cabinet and supreme court appointments.

This is the most likely outcome, based not just on the polls but also on conversations with strategists in both parties.

The comments mark the starkest indication that Trump has grown less optimistic about the GOP's chances of retaining control of the House, where Republicans face greater headwinds than in the Senate. Immediately, talk would turn to how the 2016 election was perhaps a fluke and to how Trump's divisiveness had backfired.

In the 69th Illinois House district, Rep. Joe Sosnowski, a Republican, will defeat Angie Bodine, 58 percent to 42 percent. FiveThirtyEight has them at a 1-in-8 shot. Their beliefs on subjects like immigration are already priced in to some extent too, of course, but the more Trump can drive up the fear factor, the more he might convince some populist stragglers to take an hour to go to the polls.

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